Yen holds near 156.85 per dollar after BOJ lifts rates to 1.25% and intervention risks linger
JPY steadied near 156.85 after a 2% weekly drop despite the BOJ's hike to 1.25%, as the decision lacked explicitly hawkish guidance and included dissent. Thin holiday liquidity and reports of official "rate checks" kept intervention risk in focus, limiting downside expectations. Meanwhile, a hawkish Fed and repricing toward another U.S. hike supports USD strength, keeping USDJPY sensitive to policy differentials and intervention headlines.
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After the Bank of Japan raised its policy rate to a 31-year high of 1.25%, the yen stayed near 156.85 per dollar and posted a 2% weekly drop last week. Markets said the hike lacked clearly hawkish guidance, limiting support for the currency, while the possibility of official intervention helped curb expectations of further weakening. U.S. regulatory data showed speculators’ net long yen positions rose to $9.7 billion in the week to Sept. 15, the highest since July 2025.