Middle East escalation pushes oil toward $US100 a barrel as Strait of Hormuz flows slump
Escalating Middle East hostilities are constraining crude flows through the Strait of Hormuz and threatening Saudi infrastructure, pushing crude toward $100 and raising refined-product prices. With strategic reserves and commercial inventories reportedly drawn down heavily, the market's buffer is thinner, amplifying supply-shock risk. Higher energy and fertiliser costs increase inflation persistence and tighten financial conditions, weighing on risk assets while lifting energy volatility.
Affected assets
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▼ Bearish
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Escalating tensions in the Middle East have pushed international oil prices toward $US100 a barrel. Despite a continued US military presence in the Persian Gulf, crude shipments through the Strait of Hormuz have fallen to about one-third of prewar levels. Iran-aligned Houthis have attacked Saudi refining facilities and are threatening pipelines carrying about 5 million barrels a day, raising the risk of another round of energy-driven inflation and broader economic strain.