Bitcoin rose ahead of key U.S. nonfarm payrolls data, pushing its price above $60000. The report is due on 2026年7月3日（今日） evening and is seen as an important leading indicator for Federal Reserve policy expectations. Markets broadly expect that weaker data would reinforce rate-cut bets and support risk assets, while hotter readings could delay the pace of cuts. Price action suggests traders are positioning in advance of the release, with BTC—viewed as the crypto asset most sensitive to macro conditions—leading the gains.

The headline references bitcoin trading at $61,000 and attributes the move to the Federal Reserve. The article does not provide specific details on any Fed action, timing, or data, and does not cite new policy statements, minutes, or an unexpected shift. The $61,000 level is presented as a price snapshot reflecting prevailing market pricing rather than a sudden event. It also poses an open-ended question about which cryptocurrency could surpass BTC and ETH without naming a specific project or offering substantive analysis.

On July 2, 2026, the crypto market rebounded, with total capitalization regaining nearly $5 billion in about 90 minutes. The move followed comments by former Federal Reserve Governor Kevin Warsh at the ECB Forum in Sintra that pointed to four straight quarters of AI-driven productivity gains, which he said could eventually give the Fed more room to cut rates. Bitcoin moved back above $60,000, up about 3%, while Ether gained more than 3% and Solana (SOL) rose 6.05% as XRP added 1.38%. The bounce came despite continued net outflows from spot Bitcoin ETFs, including a $212 million weekly outflow from IBIT, as shifting macro sentiment supported near-term trading momentum.

Bitcoin has staged a dynamic rebound above $61,000 following a dovish pivot in U.S. macro expectations and new global regulatory framework expansions. Despite record-setting June ETF liquidations, key structural indicators point to a high-stakes tug-of-war for the Q3 opening.

Bitcoin briefly tested the $60,000 level, with market sentiment under pressure. The move came as expectations for another Federal Reserve rate hike resurfaced and U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs logged record net outflows on the day. The article focuses solely on BTC’s price action and its link to macro liquidity conditions, without mentioning other crypto assets or specific projects. It frames the shift as reflecting short-term reallocation pressure among institutional flows, without pointing to protocol, regulatory, or infrastructure developments.

On July 1, 2026, the Federal Reserve chair is set to deliver a public speech, and the U.S. will release its June manufacturing PMI data. The combination is a typical dual catalyst of macro data and policy signaling that can shift expectations for the rate path and a potential liquidity turning point. Microsoft said it plans to cut thousands of jobs as part of routine cost optimization across the tech sector, without linking the move to any crypto-related business. Anthropic has lifted overseas access restrictions for Claude 3.5, an AI infrastructure update that does not map to any token.

A court ruling that mentioned Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook was quickly interpreted by markets as a signal about the central bank’s policy independence, feeding into interest-rate expectations. While the decision did not directly involve crypto assets, spot Bitcoin ETFs have pulled BTC deeper into U.S. macro trading, prompting traders to map the headline to implied Fed odds, real yields, the dollar and ETF flow dynamics. The episode is framed as narrative-driven repricing rather than a shift in policy or legal authority, with no specific magnitude changes cited.

On July 1, ADP reported that U.S. private-sector employers added 98,000 jobs in June, below the 110,000 forecast and the lowest level in about six months. Nearly half of the gains came from education and health services, while leisure and hospitality added just 2,000 jobs. Even with the weaker print, the 10-year Treasury yield climbed to 4.38% and markets priced a 33.7% chance of a Federal Reserve rate hike at the July meeting. Bitcoin fell to $58,773 and was down more than 17% over the past month, while U.S.-listed spot Bitcoin ETFs saw $4.5 billion of net outflows in June, according to SoSo Value.