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U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded a fifth consecutive week of net outflows in the week ending Feb. 20, with about $316 million withdrawn. Midweek redemptions of $105 million, $133 million and $166 million outweighed Friday’s $88 million inflows, while cumulative net inflows since January 2024 remain near $54 billion.

Bitcoin hovered near $68,000 over the weekend as volatility stayed muted despite tariff headlines in the US. PI extended losses, down 6% and struggling below $0.165, while ETC (-8%), ARB (-7%), and ENA (-7%) lagged and PIPPIN jumped more than 17% to nearly $0.60. Large-cap moves were mostly modest, with total crypto valuation holding above $2.4 trillion.

According to aggregated 13F regulatory filings, institutional investors reduced their U.S. spot Bitcoin ETF exposure from 532K BTC in Q3 2025 to 513K BTC in Q4 2025, a decline of about 3.5%. This modest cutback came as BTC fell 23% and slipped below the reported $84.1K average ETF entry price, leaving the average ETF holder roughly 20% in loss at a BTC price of $68K.

Bitcoin is retesting a major resistance band between $68,300 and around $69,800 on the daily chart, after previously being rejected there. The bullish structure remains intact as long as price holds above the nearby $66,194–$66,956 support, while a break below could open the way toward the $64,535–$62,592 zone. A decisive daily close above the $68,300–$69,867 area would indicate stronger upside momentum and raise the probability of a move to new local highs.

According to on-chain data, XRP recently posted roughly $900 million in weekly realized losses, its largest capitulation since 2022. A previous major spike occurred 39 months ago at -$1.93 billion, followed by a 114% advance over eight months. Since January 2025, price action has stayed within a broad corrective range, with $1.20 highlighted as a critical level.

XRP maintained the $1.35 support while broader majors showed hesitation, as exchange‑traded products tied to the token recorded $1.84 million in net inflows last week, according to SosoValue. Momentum gauges such as RSI and MACD turned higher, yet a clear move above $1.73 remains pivotal to validate a broader bullish reversal.

Economist Timothy Peterson said 50% of Bitcoin's past 24 months were positive and argued this implies an 88% chance the asset will be above its current level by December. BTC traded at $68,173 at publication, while Polymarket odds put November at 18% and December at 17% for 2026's best month, and the Fear & Greed Index registered 9.

On 20 February, Bitcoin rose 1.52% but still failed to clear $70k after a Supreme Court tariff ruling and a hotter PCE reading. Roughly 10 minutes before the U.S. Q4 GDP release, a whale-linked wallet moved $335 million in BTC; the print came at 1.4%, spotlighting fragile support.

At the beginning of February, Bitcoin's price slid to its lowest level since Donald Trump was elected US president in November 2024, a move linked to heavy leverage in the BTC market. Over the past week, on-chain data shows a substantial deleveraging on Binance, with the Estimated Leverage Ratio falling by about 28% from roughly 0.1980 to 0.1414. Bitcoin now trades near $67,950, up almost 2% in 24 hours but still slightly lower on the weekly chart, as analysts say the market needs fresh spot demand to rebuild a durable uptrend.

Lighter LIT dominance in DeFi perpetuals neared 60% in mid-December 2025, then slid to about 8.1% by mid-February as incentives faded and speculative activity cooled. Daily perps volume moved toward $15–20 billion with roughly a 30% year-over-year decline, while Hyperliquid’s share approached 40–50% amid liquidity rotation.