India’s retail inflation rises to 4.4% in June as food and transport costs climb

AI Market Summary
India's June CPI rose to 4.4% (highest under the new base), moving above the RBI's 4% target as food (5.3%) and transport costs accelerated after fuel price hikes. Core inflation eased to 3.9%, but the headline surprise reinforces inflation persistence concerns, pressuring local rates and risk assets. The mix tends to support near-term demand for defensive hedges such as gold, even as policy is expected to stay on hold.
Impact level
● Medium
Affected assets
NCCOGOLD2USD/USDT-1.38%
AI Insight · NCCOGOLD2USD/USDTAI Insight
▼ Bearish
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India’s retail inflation rose to 4.4% in June, the highest reading under the new CPI series and above the central bank’s 4% target. Food inflation accelerated to 5.3%, driven by higher food and transport costs. Core inflation eased slightly to 3.9%, partly reflecting a pullback in gold and silver prices. Markets expect the Reserve Bank of India to keep its policy rate unchanged at its August meeting.