BoE deputy governors signal they are nearing support for a rate hike as energy costs stay high
Two BoE deputy governors signaled they are nearing support for a rate hike as persistent energy-driven inflation risks become entrenched, with markets pricing a high probability of a 25bp move in November and another by February. A more hawkish rate path tightens UK financial conditions and raises UK rate-volatility, influencing sterling via repricing of front-end yields and growth expectations amid uncertainty tied to Iran-related energy disruptions.
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Two Bank of England deputy governors suggested they are moving closer to voting for an interest-rate increase as persistently high energy costs risk keeping inflation above target. The BoE kept its benchmark rate at 3.75% last week, but warned inflation could top 4% early next year if the Iran conflict drags on, well above its 2% goal. Markets are pricing a 75% chance of a 25-basis-point hike at the November meeting, according to Reuters.