Reports that Anthropic plans massive cloud/compute investment and that AI capex could exceed $10T over five years underscore an intensifying infrastructure arms race, potentially reshaping demand for data-center capacity and financing conditions across the AI supply chain. The disclosure of large compute lease payments and a sizable asset write-down adds focus on unit economics and capital efficiency, which can drive near-term repricing of AI-linked growth expectations.
Impact level
● Medium
Affected assets
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● Neutral
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Anthropic is planning to invest $518 billion in cloud services and compute infrastructure as the industry braces for an AI capex wave expected to exceed $10 trillion over the next five years. If Anthropic reaches a $2 trillion valuation, it would rank as the seventh-largest listed company, edging past SpaceX's $1.95 trillion market value. The company reportedly pays SpaceX $1.25 billion per month to lease computing capacity. Revenue is put at $4.6 billion in 2025 and more than $16 billion in the first half of 2026, alongside $34 billion in asset write-downs.