Polymarket odds for CLARITY Act becoming law in 2026 fall to 24%

AI Market Summary
Polymarket odds for the CLARITY Act being signed into law in 2026 fell to 24% from 57% in early June, reversing optimism after the bill advanced in May. Lower perceived probability of near-term US crypto market-structure legislation increases regulatory uncertainty and can dampen institutional risk appetite and positioning across major crypto assets in the short run.
Impact level
● Medium
Affected assets
BTC/USDT+0.38%
AI Insight · BTC/USDTAI Insight
▼ Bearish
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Polymarket data show the implied probability of the CLARITY Act being signed into law in 2026 has slipped to 24%. The odds were 57% in early June and briefly touched 75% after the Senate Banking Committee advanced the bill in May.