Bitcoin: short-term holders' in-profit share climbs to 74.9%, signaling rising profit-taking risk

AI Market Summary

CryptoQuant data indicates rising near-term distribution risk in BTC. After a sharp 22% advance, the share of profitable supply held by short-term holders jumped from 26.1% to 74.9%, increasing the incentive to realize gains. Net short-term holder exchange flows flipped to +28,600 BTC, above the +25,000 BTC threshold, signaling elevated sell-side liquidity and potential short-term headwinds for spot demand.

Impact level

● Medium

Affected assets

BTC/USDT+1.68%

AI Insight · BTC/USDTAI Insight

▼ Bearish

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CryptoQuant analyst Axel Adler Jr. reported that Bitcoin jumped 22% in eight days, rising from $63,000 to $77,000. Over the same period, the share of short-term holder (STH) supply in profit surged from 26.1% to 74.9%. Exchange flows also flipped, with STH net inflows turning from negative to +28,600 BTC and clearing the +25,000 BTC threshold—a sign that profit-taking pressure is building.

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