U.S. stock index futures rose before Friday’s open, with S&P 500, Dow and Nasdaq 100 futures up about 0.7% to 0.8%. The move came as oil prices retreated, with Brent crude down 3% to $104.44 a barrel after earlier jumping to the highest levels since May amid the war with Iran. An inflation update that came in near expectations also helped steady sentiment.

Traders are preparing to deliver large volumes of Brazilian Arabica coffee to ICE exchange warehouses to rebuild certified inventories that have fallen to a 26-year low. Olam and Louis Dreyfus Company are seeking to certify up to 200,000 bags for delivery against the December futures contract, with shipments to Antwerp, Belgium, rising. Although the 2026/27 season is forecast to be in surplus, ICE stocks remain well below normal levels and Brazil’s harvest has been delayed by extreme weather, keeping futures prices around $3 per pound.

U.S. Labor Department data showed the consumer price index rose 0.4% in August and was up 3.4% from a year earlier, unchanged from July. After the inflation report, the dollar strengthened against major currencies including the euro and the Swiss franc, according to the Labor Department. The figures reinforced market expectations that the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates at its meeting next week.

The International Energy Agency projects global oil supply will drop by 5.7 million barrels a day in 2026, a 6% decline, after previously forecasting a 4% drop this year. WTI crude remains near $100 a barrel, while Brent is at $104. In the U.S., 30-year fixed mortgage rates have moved above 7%, a sign that higher borrowing costs are starting to weigh on housing activity.

U.S. consumer inflation rose 3.4% year-on-year in August and increased 0.4% from July, both in line with market expectations. Core CPI rose 0.3% month-on-month, slightly above the 0.2% forecast, while the core rate eased to 2.4% year-on-year. After the data, markets lifted the implied probability of a Federal Reserve rate increase in September to 82%.

US consumer prices rose 3.4% year on year in August, with gasoline prices jumping 3.9% over the month and accounting for more than a third of the overall increase, Bureau of Labor Statistics data show. Average diesel prices climbed above $6 a gallon for the first time on Friday, a record high. Brent crude has continued trading above $100 a barrel as geopolitical conflict persists.

U.S. consumer prices rose 3.4% year over year in August, slightly above economists’ 3.3% forecast, as gasoline and diesel costs continued to climb. The national average diesel price rose more than 60% from a year earlier to $6.06, while gasoline averaged $4.30. The data arrive ahead of the Federal Reserve’s policy meeting next week, when officials will decide whether to keep raising interest rates.

Energy Aspects founder and market intelligence director Amrita Sen said the oil market has reached an “inflection point,” with the price trend pointing higher as global inventories are being drawn down faster and China’s crude buying has rebounded. She estimated China will import about 10 million barrels per day of crude in September, roughly 3 million bpd more than in June when imports fell below 7 million bpd to a decade low. Sen also said global inventories fell by 120 million barrels over the past two weeks, helping lift oil above $100 a barrel for the first time since July, according to Bloomberg.