On Feb. 20, 2026, the U.S. Supreme Court ruled President Trump's global tariffs illegal, per Walter Bloomberg, nixing duties projected to raise $1.5 trillion over the next decade. Bitcoin dipped to $66,500 before rebounding above $68,000 within minutes, and later traded below $68,000 as Trump called the decision a "disgrace."

In November 2025, the Bitcoin Lightning Network processed more than $1 billion in transaction volume and around 5.2 million payments, according to River. While the total volume hit a new record and average transaction size climbed to $223, the number of transactions was still below the 6.6 million peak seen in August 2023. Institutional and exchange-related transfers, including a reported $1 million payment from Secure Digital Markets to Kraken, played a key role in driving larger payment sizes and record network capacity above 5,600 BTC.

The Bitcoin Lightning Network processed more than $1 billion in payments in November 2025, marking its first billion‑dollar month and signaling rising real‑world usage. Researchers estimate the layer‑2 system handled about 5.2 million transactions in that period, while average transfer size climbed to $223, driven largely by exchange activity. Network capacity also exceeded 5,600 BTC, indicating expanding infrastructure for faster and cheaper Bitcoin payments.

On February 20, 2026, Bitcoin traded at $67,307, according to Finbold. A $2.3 million Polymarket market prices a 21% chance of a new ATH by December 31, with 15%, 7%, and 2% for September 30, June 30, and March 31, respectively, and resolves on Binance’s 1‑minute BTC/USDT highs. Views diverge: Ali Martinez and Michael Burry outline downside risks, while Bernstein and Standard Chartered project rebounds.

US spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded $165.8 million of outflows on Thursday, lifting weekly losses to $403.9 million and year-to-date redemptions to $2.7 billion. Analysts say 2026 is proving to be one of Bitcoin's weakest starts, with prices down roughly 22% YTD and IBIT leading weekly outflows at $368 million.

Bitcoin remains under the "True Market Mean" near $79,000, while the Realized Price around $54,900 defines the lower structural boundary. Analysts say persistent U.S. spot ETF outflows, tight liquidity and muted large-holder demand have kept price action confined to the $60,000–$70,000 band heading into late February.

According to developer Mononaut, Bitcoin's mining difficulty has jumped by about 15% to 144.4 trillion, marking one of the largest increases on record and fully reversing the previous epoch's sharp downward adjustment. As of February 20, 2026, this rebound in hashrate to 1 ZH/s is pressuring miners in the short term while Bitcoin trades around $68,104.38 with rising whale accumulation.

On 20 February 2026, Metaplanet CEO Simon Gerovich defended the firm's Bitcoin accumulation strategy after the company posted a $619 million net loss for fiscal year 2025, mainly from non-cash mark-to-market adjustments. The firm holds 35,102 BTC as of February 2026 and has approved a $137 million capital raise to pursue its target of 210,000 BTC by the end of 2027.