Bitcoin spot exchange-traded funds posted a combined net inflow of $180 million on March 13 EST, marking five straight days of net subscriptions, SoSoValue data show. BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF IBIT contributed a single-day net inflow of $144 million. Over the same period, Ethereum spot ETFs saw aggregate net inflows of $26.69 million, extending their run to four consecutive days, with BlackRock's Ethereum ETF ETHA leading that segment at $32.39 million.

Bitcoin's network is more resilient to physical infrastructure failures than expected, requiring simultaneous disruption of 72% to 92% of cross-border undersea cables to materially affect node connectivity, a Cambridge Centre for Alternative Finance study cited by CoinDesk finds. Reviewing 11 years of data and 68 confirmed submarine cable incidents, researchers report that in over 87% of real-world cases fewer than 5% of nodes were impacted, including a March 2024 event off Côte d'Ivoire where damage to seven to eight cables affected about 43% of local nodes but only 0.03% of the global network. The study notes Bitcoin is far more exposed to targeted attacks, estimating that disrupting around 20% of strategically important cable links or cutting routing capacity by just 5% at major hosting providers such as Hetzner, OVH, Comcast, Amazon and Google Cloud could generate similar network effects. Researchers add that Tor-based nodes now represent about 64% of the Bitcoin network as of 2025, heavily concentrated in well-connected countries including Germany, France and the Netherlands, reflecting the community's shift toward more censorship-resistant infrastructure in response to internet controls and geopolitical tensions.

Bitcoin's peer-to-peer network would see large-scale node disconnections only if between 72% and 92% of cross-border subsea cables failed simultaneously, a Cambridge Centre for Alternative Finance study cited by CoinDesk shows. Drawing on 11 years of network data, 68 confirmed undersea cable outages and 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations per scenario, researchers found over 87% of real-world failures affected fewer than 5% of nodes and the correlation between cable disruptions and Bitcoin price moves was near zero at 0.02. The study reports a sharp contrast between random failures and targeted actions, concluding attacks on critical hub cables would lower the failure threshold to 20%, while disabling just 5% of routing capacity at the five largest node-hosting providers—Hetzner, OVH, Comcast, Amazon and Google Cloud—would have a similar effect.

Strategy's perpetual preferred stock STRC recorded a single-day trading volume of $745 million this week, crypto analyst Ragnar said in a post on X cited by ChainCatcher. Ragnar estimates that with a cash realization rate of about 48% including off-exchange periods, the daily STRC flow alone could correspond to potential Bitcoin purchases of roughly 5,000 BTC, while total capital linked to STRC over the week may be equivalent to around 13,000 BTC. Based on Ragnar's calculations, when incorporating Strategy's common stock financing ratio of approximately 1:2 relative to STRC, the total potential Bitcoin buying capacity this week could reach about 39,000 BTC, though he notes these figures are market-based estimates and actual purchases depend on official company disclosures. Ragnar also notes that the broader crypto market has yet to fully enter a bull phase, highlighting that the 50-day correlation between Bitcoin and the Nasdaq 100 stands at 84%, which he suggests could mean Bitcoin faces similar downside pressure if equities undergo a correction.

On-chain data show Bitcoin short-term holder Supply in Profit has remained below 50%, and Glassnode said a flip above that threshold is a precondition for any sustained price recovery. The metric tracks the share of BTC held at an unrealized gain by addresses that acquired coins within the last 155 days, a cohort under stress since a bearish shift in Q4 2025 pushed many holdings underwater. Historical rebounds above 50% have aligned with price recoveries, including a rally in H1 2025 that drove Bitcoin to new all-time highs, Glassnode noted. Bitcoin is currently attempting to retest the $72,000 area after gaining 3% over the past 24 hours.

Crypto analyst ₿ariksis projects Bitcoin will rise from approximately $70,000 to $110,000 over the next 60 days, representing a potential $40,000 gain. The forecast follows weeks of global market volatility and is based on supportive macroeconomic conditions and constructive technical signals, according to the analyst.

The Bitcoin Fear and Greed Index remains in the "Extreme Fear" range, signaling deeply pessimistic market sentiment. Some market participants note that historically, significant long-term entries have often occurred during such deep fear readings.

Polymarket traders are pricing in a 27% probability that Bitcoin will trade above $80,000 at some point in March, according to the latest data from the prediction platform. The odds reflect current positioning in Polymarket's crypto markets.

Bitcoin is trading around $71,000 with resistance near $74,000, Bloomberg reports. Multiple historical indicators suggest the recent downturn could be approaching a bottom, with Brett Munster of Blockforce Capital noting one key signal has already been triggered.