59m ago
Bitcoin Steadies Around $77,000 After 23% Weekly Rally as $80,000 Triggers Profit-Taking Watch
Bitcoin traded near $77,000 on Monday after surging more than 23% last week, marking its strongest weekly advance since mid-March 2023. The move followed a U.S. Treasury decision to expand debt buybacks, which improved broader risk appetite and helped propel crypto.
Institutional demand added fuel. U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded about $1.92 billion in net inflows last week, the largest weekly haul so far this year and the biggest since mid-October 2025, SoSoValue data shows.
Profit-taking builds as BTC approaches $80,000
On-chain indicators suggest some investors are locking in gains as Bitcoin nears the closely watched $80,000 level. CryptoQuant estimates holders realized roughly $1.72 billion in profits on Friday, the largest single-day realized profit figure since late November 2024. Historically, sharp spikes in realized profits can lead to near-term consolidation or pullbacks as additional supply reaches the market, without necessarily derailing a broader recovery.
Even so, demand signals have improved. CryptoQuant's apparent demand gauge has turned positive after remaining negative since late February, pointing to firmer net buying interest that could help offset selling tied to profit-taking.
ETF flows remain central
The size of recent ETF inflows highlights the role institutional money has played in Bitcoin's advance. Sustained inflows could support further attempts to clear resistance. A slowdown in institutional demand would raise the risk that price struggles to hold gains as short-term momentum looks stretched.
Key technical levels: $78.5K–$81K in focus
Bitcoin recently challenged the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement at $78,490, based on the Aug 2024 low near $49,000 and the Oct 2025 record high of $126,199. A weekly close above $78,490 would strengthen the bullish setup and bring the 50-week simple moving average at $81,059 into view. The $80,000 psychological barrier sits between those levels.
If Bitcoin clears that resistance band, the next upside levels cited by technicians are the 50% Fib at $87,599 and the 100-week SMA around $88,990.
Momentum is positive, but short-term readings look stretched
Bitcoin remains well above its 200-week SMA at $64,571 after breaking out of a lengthy consolidation. Weekly momentum indicators point to a constructive trend: the weekly RSI is around 55, and the weekly MACD remains bullish following a mid-July crossover.
On the daily timeframe, BTC is holding above the 50/100/200-day EMAs at $66,786, $67,415 and $71,781. The daily RSI near 79 signals overbought conditions, increasing the odds of a pause or retracement.
Support levels on any pullback
Initial support sits at the 200-day EMA near $71,781 and the $70,000 psychological level. Below that, traders will watch the 100-day EMA near $67,415, the 50-day EMA near $66,786 and a nearby horizontal area around $66,500. A deeper decline would expose support near $62,300.
Bottom line
Bitcoin's rebound is being underpinned by improved macro sentiment and renewed institutional inflows, but elevated realized profits and an overbought daily RSI point to the risk of short-term consolidation as price tests resistance around $78.5K–$80K. Attention remains on whether buyers can absorb profit-taking and deliver a weekly close above $78,490, which would shift focus toward $81,000 and the $87.6K–$89K zone.