Federal Reserve leaves rates at 3.5%–3.75% on 18 March, projects only gradual easing ahead

On 18 March, the Federal Reserve kept the federal funds rate target range unchanged at 3.5%–3.75% while indicating that inflation remains too high for near-term cuts. Fresh projections point to PCE inflation at 2.7%, GDP growth of 2.4%, unemployment at 4.4%, and a federal funds rate near 3.4% in 2026, suggesting a slow and measured path to policy easing that will keep markets focused on incoming data.