Willy Woo sees typical Bitcoin bottom near $45,000, extreme scenario at $16,000

Crypto trader Willy Woo outlined a bearish Bitcoin roadmap on Feb. 27, 2026, saying the current investor selloff appears to be easing and BTC could move sideways for roughly a month, with any rebound toward the mid-$70,000s likely facing rejection as the broader market remains heavily bearish in both spot and futures. Woo said his educated guess is that the downtrend could conclude in Q4 2026 with a typical bear market bottom around $45,000, while a renewed bullish phase might not emerge until Q1 or Q2 2027, and in a less probable worst-case macro scenario Bitcoin could drop as low as $16,000. CryptoQuant separately used data from the 2012, 2016 and 2020 halving cycles to show that if past patterns repeat after the April 2024 halving, a high-probability window for a Bitcoin bottom could fall between June and October 2026, with dates such as June 4, Sept. 24 and Oct. 30, 2026 highlighted in its analysis.