In December 2025, the Producer Price Index rose 0.5% month-over-month and 3.0% year-over-year, with core PPI climbing to 3.3%, the highest since July 2025. Bitcoin slid under $82,400 as Fed funds futures shifted to just 52 basis points of expected cuts across 2026, with the first move seen in June. Persistent services inflation and elevated real yields around 1.90% now frame key scenarios for rates and Bitcoin ahead of the Feb. 20 PCE release.

Bitcoin has come under pressure following a sharp pullback, but short‑term support levels are still holding and momentum indicators point to fading downside pressure. Technical signals such as an RSI reading in the low‑30s on the 4‑hour chart and a contracting MACD histogram align with analyst views that the move is corrective rather than a structural breakdown. Some analysts see the current phase as quiet accumulation after a sentiment flush, with risk‑reward favoring cautious long setups as long as critical support zones remain intact.

Bitcoin dropped to about $81,500 on Thursday, January 29, then rebounded above $93,000 on Friday, January 30. In a CryptoQuant Quicktake, CryptoOnchain said Binance's Estimated Leverage Ratio surged to 0.188 during the sell-off, signaling higher liquidation risk. The analyst added that the market is in a high-tension zone and a squeeze could be imminent.

Bitcoin is trading near $83,000 after a sharp slide to about $81,000 earlier in the week, with 24-hour volume around $50 billion, down nearly 40%. Key support sits near $80,500, while resistance has shifted to the $86,400–$90,400 area, leaving BTC in a downward channel and a corrective phase. A daily close above $90,400 could point to a recovery, but failure to hold $80,500 may expose the $76,400 zone.

On Friday, Bitcoin fell up to 4% to $81,045, its lowest since November, before trading near $83,651. The move followed U.S. President Donald Trump's nomination of Kevin Warsh as Fed chair and coincided with three straight months of spot ETF net redemptions. Traders debated support near $85,000–$90,000 amid a lingering risk-off tone.

A partial US government shutdown began Saturday morning after the Senate approved five funding bills and a two-week stopgap in a 71-29 vote late in the week, with a House vote expected Monday and the President signaling support. Bitcoin hovered near $84,000 after Thursday's drop to $81,000, while XMR (+11%), CC (+8.5%), HYPE (+6%) and SOL (+4%) advanced.

On Thursday, Bitcoin fell nearly 9% toward the $81,314 area after a brief 2.6% rebound, slipping below near‑term supports. Analysts Ted Pillows and Rekt Capital warn the loss of the 100‑week EMA and a retest of the Macro Triangle bottom near $82,500 raise downside risks, with history implying up to a 76.88% drawdown toward $30,000 if patterns repeat.

On January 30, Bitcoin dropped to $81,119 as derivatives data showed a cascade of forced long closures. According to on-chain analyst Axel Adler Jr., long-liquidation dominance reached roughly 97% (30-day average 31.4%) while perpetual funding stayed positive at 43.2% annualized, suggesting leverage may not be fully cleared. BTC last traded near $82,968.