Technical Analysis

At the beginning of February, Bitcoin's price slid to its lowest level since Donald Trump was elected US president in November 2024, a move linked to heavy leverage in the BTC market. Over the past week, on-chain data shows a substantial deleveraging on Binance, with the Estimated Leverage Ratio falling by about 28% from roughly 0.1980 to 0.1414. Bitcoin now trades near $67,950, up almost 2% in 24 hours but still slightly lower on the weekly chart, as analysts say the market needs fresh spot demand to rebuild a durable uptrend.

Ethereum is showing relative strength on an inverted price chart, but an analyst known as Mizer still views the higher time frame trend as bearish until a key parabolic curve is broken. He outlines two possible outcomes from the current consolidation and sets downside targets near $1,700 and $1,400, warning that losing a crucial flip zone on the inverted chart would invalidate the setup and imply a broader trend shift.

The cryptocurrency market has reversed most gains achieved after the 2024 U.S. election, now roughly 40% below its October 2025 peak. Total3 rose more than 91% to $1.16 trillion by December 2024 before slipping toward about $713 billion, while Bitcoin and Ether also saw drawdowns of over 50% and about 60%, respectively.

According to Santiment on February 19, daily new addresses on Solana have been increasing even as market sentiment weakens. SOL trades around $84 after a multi‑month retreat that left it 67% under its September 2025 high, with derivatives funding deeply negative and exchange outflows topping inflows in recent weeks.

Bitcoin's price has hovered near $68,000 resistance in recent days, trading around $67,960 with no notable 24-hour change. Whales recently realized more than $208 million in profits, the seventh such spike in the past two years. This pattern has often preceded short-term turbulence and, after supply absorption, local bottoms or stabilization.

After clearing $1,950, Ethereum advanced toward the $2,000 mark, with ETH around $1,988, up roughly 1.1% in the past 24 hours and slightly ahead of Bitcoin with a sub‑1% move. The article's on‑chain review notes major whale cohorts are in unrealized losses, while resistance stands at $2,157–$2,260 and support near $1,820–$1,850.

Bitcoin is trading in a tight range where liquidity is being cleared on both sides, leaving price direction uncertain. Market observers note that after nearly three months of subdued activity, a key demand gauge has moved back above zero to around +1,200 BTC, suggesting selling pressure is easing and long-term accumulation may be returning.

In the first 50 days of 2026, Bitcoin fell 23% from about $88,700 to near $68,000, while market capitalization slid 24% from roughly $1.76 trillion to $1.34 trillion. ETF products saw $2.9 billion in outflows as leverage unwound. Binance's Open Interest dropped from roughly $16 billion to near $ 6 billion, amplifying cross-exchange volatility.

A 30‑day MVRV snapshot places Ethereum at -14.3%, the most undervalued among major caps, followed by Bitcoin at -6.9%, Chainlink at -5.1%, XRP at -4.1%, and ADA at -2.0%. Recent readings also note ETH struggling near $2,000 and BTC at $68,000, 46% below its last all‑time high.

At press time, Hyperliquid's HYPE traded at $30.30, up 4.75% over 24 hours, with volume up 14.5% to $207.95 million. A bullish breakout has put near-term targets back in play, and Arthur Hayes said he plans to add HYPE while projecting $150 by July 2026, with traders watching whether $29 support can fuel a move toward $36.