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SpaceX market cap hits $2.65 trillion as Morningstar values it at $780 billion
SpaceX’s market capitalization has climbed to $2.65 trillion even though only about 4% of its shares actually trade, a setup that can amplify sentiment-driven swings. Morningstar analyst Nicolas Owens estimates fair value at $780 billion, about 29% of the current market cap. SpaceX reported $18.67 billion in 2025 revenue and a $4.94 billion net loss after incorporating February’s xAI merger, followed by another $4.28 billion loss in 2026’s first quarter. Prediction markets assign low odds to the orbital data-center thesis, while tens of billions of insider shares are set to begin unlocking in August, adding real supply-and-demand pressure.