Analyst Sees Risk of Bitcoin Repeating 2018 and 2022 Capitulations if 200-Week EMA at $68,300 Breaks

On February 23, 2026, analyst Rekt Capital warned that Bitcoin could revisit capitulation-style declines similar to 2018 and 2022 if it loses support at the 200-week exponential moving average around $68,300. He notes that a weekly close below this level followed by a failed retest has historically triggered further downside, while recent weekly closes above it have so far delayed a bearish confirmation.