7 giờ trước
Bitcoin Near Cyclical Bottom but May Consolidate Between $60,000–$75,000, K33 Research Says
Bitcoin's selloff earlier this month and its trading range between $65,000 and $70,000 suggest the market may be near a cyclical bottom, K33 Research head of research Vetle Lunde said, drawing parallels to late September and mid-November 2022 when BTC traded between $15,000 and $20,000 about 70% below its 2021 peak. K33's regime model, which blends derivatives metrics, ETF flows, technical indicators and macro signals, points to a trough, with spot volumes down 59% week-over-week, perpetual futures open interest at a four-month low, and funding rates negative as speculative excess is flushed out. U.S.-listed bitcoin ETFs have shed 103,113 BTC in exposure since early October, though more than 90% of peak BTC-denominated exposure remains intact after a nearly 50% retrace, while the Crypto Fear and Greed Index fell to a record low of 5 last week and stayed below 10 for most of the week. Lunde said bitcoin is likely near or at a global bottom but could consolidate between $60,000 and $75,000 for an extended period, and he, along with on-chain analyst and Checkonchain cofounder James Check, argued that such sideways regimes historically offer attractive accumulation opportunities for long-term investors even as explosive upside phases often occur in brief repricing bursts that are difficult to time.