Goldman Sachs flags Turkey pivot toward external rebalancing, tolerating faster lira depreciation
A Goldman Sachs report says Turkey’s policy focus has shifted from “cutting rates” to “repairing external imbalances,” and that policymakers will tolerate faster lira depreciation to lift real rates while inflation takes a back seat. The approach implies the USD/TRY exchange rate could strengthen markedly in the near term. It also suggests the central bank may later move its policy-rate corridor sharply higher. The piece frames the shift as a change in policy narrative rather than routine fine-tuning.