Macro analyst Lyn Alden said on a podcast published Thursday that an eventual peak in AI stock valuations could redirect capital into Bitcoin, which is still well below its October all-time high. She argued Bitcoin requires only a small influx of new demand to move higher, with long-term holders providing a price floor even as short-term traders exit.

Peter Schiff, chairman of Schiff Gold, tweeted yesterday that Bitcoin may slide toward $20,000 if its long-term $50k support gives way. On February 12, he said the cryptocurrency's "initial support" was around $10k. At press time, Bitcoin was near $68k after a failed move above $70k.

According to Santiment, wallets holding 10 to 10,000 BTC have trimmed their share of the circulating supply by 0.8% since October, pushing it to the lowest level since May 2025. Meanwhile, 0 to 0.01 BTC addresses added 2.5%, reaching the highest since June 2024, as mid-tier balances split: 0.01–1 BTC up 1.05% and 1–10 BTC down 0.49%. Bitcoin trades near $67,400, up 0.7% on the week.

Bitcoin has fallen 29% over the last 30 days, with VanEck's latest Bitcoin ChainCheck report arguing that leveraged positions have been cleared and "mid-cycle" sellers are largely spent. The asset manager also notes a sharp pullback in hash rate and mining profitability, while on-chain activity and transaction counts remain comparatively strong.

Bitcoin has moved between $65,900 and $70,500 over the past week, and a 4.3% push to $69,600 would liquidate more than $600 million in short futures. Derivatives funding remains soft after a Feb. 6 washout, while improving hashrate and the BIP-360 proposal may ease security concerns and support a run toward $70,000.

On February 20, analyst CoinsKid shared a liquidity chart indicating that the capital pool supporting recent Bitcoin and XRP advances may be shrinking, potentially dampening short-term momentum. Bitcoin is trading around $67,551.43, with modest daily gains but weekly and monthly losses, while market participants debate whether fading crypto liquidity could rotate into gold or return through institutional and ETF-driven flows.

On Feb. 20, 2026, the U.S. Supreme Court ruled President Trump's global tariffs illegal, per Walter Bloomberg, nixing duties projected to raise $1.5 trillion over the next decade. Bitcoin dipped to $66,500 before rebounding above $68,000 within minutes, and later traded below $68,000 as Trump called the decision a "disgrace."

In November 2025, the Bitcoin Lightning Network processed more than $1 billion in transaction volume and around 5.2 million payments, according to River. While the total volume hit a new record and average transaction size climbed to $223, the number of transactions was still below the 6.6 million peak seen in August 2023. Institutional and exchange-related transfers, including a reported $1 million payment from Secure Digital Markets to Kraken, played a key role in driving larger payment sizes and record network capacity above 5,600 BTC.