Bitcoin entered February 2026 about $45,000 below its cycle peak after a 10.1% January slide to roughly $78,700. Historical CryptoRank data show February delivered +13.4% average and +11.6% median returns, topping most months except April and October. Strategy's 712,647 BTC stack near $73,000-$76,000 is seen as a pivotal support zone for any rebound.

On the first trading day of February, XRP's monthly close below its mid-Bollinger Band raises the risk of a drawdown toward $0.37, implying roughly 77% downside from the current level. At the same time, an early-Bitcoin-era wallet moved 99,999 ETH worth $242.7 million to Binance, coinciding with an 8.5% Ethereum price drop to around $2,411. Cardano heads into February with a historical average return of 24.4%, positioning ADA as a potential outperformer while broader crypto markets remain cautious.

After a sharp weekend sell-off, Shiba Inu has dropped back into the same price band near $0.00000750 that preceded major rallies in 2021 and 2024. If the market repeats even the midpoint of those past percentage moves, technical projections imply SHIB could climb about 700% toward the $0.00006 area. The token is currently trading around $0.0000078 and remains in a weekly structure that has previously produced large bullish swings.

According to CoinGlass data, XRP trades around $1.74, roughly 2.14% above the long max pain level at $1.7224 and 20.13% below the key short pain point at $2.09478. With short positions reportedly about 10 times larger than longs and price consolidating between $1.72 and $1.76 after losing the $1.89 support, the setup points to a possible February squeeze if funding stabilizes and market sentiment improves.

On Jan. 30, a CNBC Crypto World ticker briefly displayed XRP at $126.01, far above its market level, while veteran trader Peter Brandt reiterated a theoretical Bitcoin retracement zone near $25,000. Separately, OKX moved 41,128,246,331 SHIB from a cold to a hot wallet as broader crypto liquidations reached $1.7 billion and an $8.8 billion options expiry approached.

On-chain whale wallet 0x9ee, once sitting on $61 million in unrealized gains, has seen its PnL swing to a loss of $13.46 million as XRP and ETH leveraged longs come under severe pressure. With an XRP entry at $2.29 and ETH bought at $3,190.28, both positions are now deep in the red, account collateral is fully consumed, and liquidation thresholds around $1.66 for XRP and $2,632 for ETH are looming. The wallet's leverage of 24.58x and ROE near -288% leave the trader facing a critical choice between adding margin or exiting before forced liquidation.

Early Wednesday, Bitcoin briefly climbed from $89,200 to $90,170, a move of just 0.88%, yet it unleashed one of 2026's most extreme liquidation skews. The $90,000 level saw $6.63 million in shorts wiped out against only $4,640 in longs, generating an hourly imbalance of 142,580% and putting bears at renewed risk if the threshold fails to hold as resistance.

According to market commentators, Bitcoin could climb toward $110,000 by Q2 2026 if miner capitulation and capital rotation from metals play out as before. XRP is testing a multi‑year resistance that underpins a speculative path to $27, while Ethereum has seen 2,218,771 ETH worth $6.52 billion locked into staking with little immediate price reaction. Key levels around $90,000 for BTC, $1.40 to $3.40 for XRP and support near $2,850 for ETH are in focus as January draws to a close.

According to Arkham, wallet 0x519Fe cycled 61.63 billion SHIB through Coinbase hot wallet within hours and then showed a zero balance shortly before February. SHIB traded at $0.00000773 near support at $0.0000075, while prior Februarys posted gains of 20.3%, 1.59%, and 41.3%, and CryptoRank reports the month has a +9.26% average return.