An on-chain assessment using the Long-Term Holder SOPR metric shows Bitcoin's long-term investors have started realizing monthly losses, with the average monthly reading slipping to about 0.98. On a yearly basis the SOPR remains positive near 1.84, but the downtrend in realized profits suggests a fragile phase for this cohort as Bitcoin trades around $64,247 after a 4.85% daily drop.

Bitcoin has failed to reclaim the $70,000 resistance, keeping the market exposed to a deeper pullback. Using the Supply in Profit on-chain metric, analyst Yonsei_dent projects that the current cycle could see a 70%–75% drawdown, implying a potential price floor between $31,500 and $38,000. Bitcoin is trading around $63,553 with weak weekly and monthly performance, leaving sentiment cautious and price action vulnerable to further downside or prolonged consolidation.

XRP has been trading under bearish pressure, with a roughly 5.7% rebound on Friday only partly offsetting an earlier 7.1% weekly decline. According to analyst CryptoOnchain, Binance’s XRP reserves have dropped to around 2.5 billion tokens, more than 700 million below their November 2024 peak, potentially signaling reduced sell-side liquidity and growing investor accumulation interest.

Bitcoin has rebounded from a sharp decline to around $60,000, with its price recently trading near $68,892 and intraday gains of 6.44%. On-chain data shows the Coinbase Premium, which had been negative since mid-January, has flipped positive as US investors regain confidence and Bitcoin climbs over 16% toward $70,000. Despite this shift, analysts note that broader macro conditions and the risk of a deeper correction, with Bitcoin still about 50% below its all-time high and showing double-digit weekly and monthly losses, remain key concerns.

In the final stretch of January, Bitcoin briefly fell under $80,000 as analysts highlighted roughly $1.3 billion in liquidations within 12 hours. Market expert Burak Kesmeci views $80,000 as both a key technical support and the approximate cost basis for spot Bitcoin ETFs, with January 2026 net outflows already at $1.61 billion. He cautions that a confirmed weekly close below this level could extend downside toward $72,000, $68,000 and $62,000, while a rebound above $90,000 and $95,000, and eventually $100,000, would improve the bullish outlook.

On January 30, analyst Ali Martinez said on X that XRP could be primed for a short-term bounce if the TD Sequential setup is confirmed at the $1.70 support. The token started the week up roughly 7% before sliding on Wednesday. Meanwhile, US XRP spot ETFs saw outflows exceeding $69 million, and XRP was at $1.74, down 3.26%.

Throughout most of the recent trading week, Ethereum has traded within a tight band between $3,000 and $2,880 while derivatives activity has cooled. On-chain data cited by Arab Chain shows total Ethereum open interest across major exchanges has fallen to about $16.9 billion, the lowest since mid-December, even as Binance alone maintains roughly $7.5 billion. With leverage declining and Ethereum near $3,000, the market appears to be absorbing deleveraging with limited selling pressure, while large traders concentrate positions on the most liquid venue.

Analytics group Arab Chain, via a CryptoQuant QuickTake, reports Binance's ETH futures daily volume reached $21.7 billion, the highest since mid-December. The uptick follows a late-December lull while ETH trades around $3,292. Over the week, Ether reclaimed $3,300 but failed to break $3,400, reinforcing a short-term bearish setup.

AVAX, the native asset of the Avalanche network, recently climbed to $14.85 before dropping back under $13.50 and now trades near $13.61. Analyst Ali Martinez’s January 16 chart study highlights repeated rejections around $14.83 and an inverse head and shoulders structure that could project upside targets at $17.59 and $18.41 if this resistance is cleared. AVAX has booked a 14.67% gain over the past month, hinting at a possible shift after a net negative Q4 2025.